Wednesday March 12 2014

Cold snap ahead

Last Updated:
10:15PM Wednesday
March 12, 2014
School Forecast For:
Thursday March 13th

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
40% 0% 0%

Brief Overview
Last Updated: 10:00PM March 12th

10:00PM Update

Radar is indicating that the current period of freezing rain should come to an end within the next hour or so. Dry conditions seem to be prevailing behind this band of freezing rain, and the snow showers that I mentioned earlier have continued to diminish in intensity. Currently, it looks like only a slight chance of freezing rain or snow showers through midnight.

Traditionally, black ice events have more often than not resulted in delays. However, with precipitation tapering off between now and midnight, I am less than convinced that black ice extent will be enough to result in a dely. The 40% is a compromise. Tomorrow is not the day to rely on a delay.

5:00PM Update:

Overnight

Expecting temperatures to drop below freezing around 8PM.
The steadier rain should be tapering off around that time.

There are some snow showers back over Ohio and western Pennsylvania that may make it our way, but the intensity of these showers has been decreasing in the last few hours.

I'm not expecting more than an inch of snow overnight, with a maximum range of zero to two inches. Black ice will likely be a concern overnight. Any snow will just add to that.

Temperatures tomorrow will struggle to reach the 20s, but should rebound to the upper 40s by Saturday

I'll have an update at 10PM.

Kingstonsnows Extended Forecast
Last Updated: 12:45PM March 10th

Forecast at a glance
- AM °F
PM °F
Weather Timing Confidence
Tuesday 30 - 35 40 - 45 Mostly Cloudy - High
Wednesday
30 - 35 36 - 41 Snow/Rain;
Snow/Sleet After 5AM;
After 8PM Medium
Thursday 10 - 15 16 - 21 Snow Showers Before 7AM High
Friday 5 - 15 25 - 35 Clear - Medium
Saturday 15 - 25 35 - 45 Snow Showers? - Medium
Sunday 15 - 25
25 - 35 Mostly Cloudy - Medium
Monday 5 - 15 15 - 25
Mostly Cloudy - Low

Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy.
Slightly warmer with temperatures in the 40s.

Wednesday and Thursday

A mix of sleet and snow early Wednesday morning,
transitioning to rain/mix after 8AM. Rain transitioning to sleet or snow during the evening. Snow tapering off Wednesday night before 7AM Thursday.

Temperatures reaching the mid to upper 30s Wednesday,
then falling into the teens and 20s.

Friday through Monday

No significant weather anticipated.
Some snow showers possible on Saturday.
Temperatures generally reaching the 20s and 30s.
Colder conditions possible on Monday.

Long-range school impact (probability)
The long range impact is a general outlook, and is not a specific forecast.
Day (Date) Delay Cancellation E.D. Confidence
Monday (17) None None None Low
Tuesday (11) None None None High
Wednesday (12) Low None None High
Thursday (13) Medium Low None Medium
Friday (14) None None None High
Long range impact last Updated: 3:00PM March 11, 2014

Kingstonsnows ♦ Kingston, NY

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