Sunday January 12

7AM Sunday

This weekend has seen record smashing temperatures. As of 7AM, Poughkeepsie has already reached 67 degrees. This is our fourth warmest January temperature ever recorded. Yesterday's high of 68 tied the second warmest January temperature on record. Only January 6, 2007 was warmer with a temperature of 70. The record-breaking warmth will end later this morning, and most of the coming week will simply feature above average temperatures with calm weather. The highlight of the week looks to be a potential winter storm on Saturday as we begin to shift back toward traditional winter weather.

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Overall, the first half of the week looks very calm. A strong cold front will move through in a few hours, plunging our temperatures back down to near 30 by midnight. Temperatures Monday through Wednesday should reach the mid to upper 40s, which is about 10 to 15 degrees above average. Overnight lows should generally be in the lower 30s, which is about 15 degrees above normal. A mix of sun and clouds is anticipated during this time, but the weather should remain dry through Wednesday. Late Wednesday night, a weak disturbance will move through the region. This may trigger rain or snow showers early Thursday morning. Early morning temperatures will approach the freezing mark, so we'll have to watch for some light icing Thursday morning. Clouds thin late Thursday with dry weather and seasonable temperatures on Friday.

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On Saturday, we may see our first accumulating snowfall in nearly a month. Evidence to support a storm affecting our region began to emerge this past Wednesday. Since then, trends have consistently depicted this storm. Additionally, since Thursday, trends have consistently depicted at least some snow accumulation. Despite being a week away, confidence is fairly high (about 70%) that some form of storm will materialize and impact us next weekend. The exact timing, intensity, and precipitation types remain less certain. However, at this time, there is the potential for accumulating snow to begin Saturday morning, mix with sleet or rain in the evening, and end Saturday night. Any snow accumulation will depend largely on 1) the storm's path/intensity, and 2) how well the initial cold air remains in place.

Next Update:
On Wednesday



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