Thursday February 7

Next Storm: Tuesday - Wednesday

School Forecast through:
Friday February 8th
Last Updated: 6:00PM Thursday February 7, 2019
Delay No School Early Dismissal
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(Nope)

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(Nope)

5:30PM Thursday

Just a quick update to state that our next winter storm still looks poised for next week. Today is day five that KingstonSnows has been watching this storm, and as such, there is now enough confidence to go ahead and issue a snow gauge. Because we are still about five days out from the storm, the snow ranges have been left relatively broad with the intention of whittling them down as we get closer. At the moment, this storm is reminiscent of our last one that produced nine inches of snow.

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Over the past 24 hours or so, confidence has increased in the timing of the storm. Initially it was looking like the storm could arrive anywhere between Tuesday morning and Wednesday morning and then last up to 24 hours. Trends have been favoring an earlier start time - likely during the daylight hours on Tuesday, and then ending around mid-day Wednesday. As far as amounts go, there is certainly the potential for at least another moderate snow event. Most calculations have been suggesting enough moisture to produce a general 6 to 12 inches of snowfall - if it all falls as snow, which currently seems pretty likely.

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12PM Wednesday

Today, rain showers should move in around 4PM. Rain showers will be possible until shortly after midnight. There is a slight chance that we could see some ice pellets mix in early tonight, but ice accumulations are not expected. Thursday remains mostly dry with the possibility of light rain moving in in the evening around 7PM. More overnight light rain showers are possible Thursday night, and then Friday remains dry. Temperatures on Thursday and Friday should make the 40s. Colder air moves in for the weekend with Saturday and Sunday only getting up to around 30.

Attention shifts to next possible storm.

Since Sunday, KingstonSnows has been eyeballing a potential accumulating snow event for next week. At this time there is a moderately-high amount of confidence that some form of storm will develop and move through our region in the Tuesday - Thursday timeframe. As this storm moves through it would likely produce some combination of rain/snow, depending on how well cold air remains anchored near the ground. This storm is still a week out, but at the moment, it does have some resemblance to our two other 9-inch storms this winter, and KingstonSnows is inclined to favor a colder scenario with more snow than rain. That being said, it is too early to even offer a meaningful "extreme" snow range for this potential storm. While we wait for storm details to become clearer, check out this afternoon's Facebook post on how KingstonSnows makes its Snow Gauges! >>LINK<<

School Impact Outlook
Updated: Thursday February 7th
For February 11th through February 15th

Day (Date) Snow/Ice Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday (11) Very Low
Very Low
Very Low Very Low
Tuesday (12)
High Very Low
Medium
Medium
Wednesday (13)
Medium
Medium
Medium
Very Low
Thursday (14)
Low
Low
Very Low
Very Low
Friday (15)
Very Low
Very Low
Very Low
Very Low
School impact outlooks offer a general sense of upcoming conditions, but are not specific forecasts.

Season Forecast
5:00AM Wednesday January 2nd

Kingstonsnows is formally forecasting a total of 34 inches of snow this winter, with a likely range of 22 to 46 inches. This forecast is below the average seasonal total of 44.8 inches.

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Although the forecast anticipates a likely range of 22 to 46 inches, there is about a 25% chance of less than 22 inches of snow, and a 25% chance of more than 46 inches of snow. It is important to remember that it only takes one well placed nor'easter to dump significant snowfall. Additional details about how the forecast is made can be found HERE. We'll see how the forecast holds up by April!

-Ethan

KingstonSnows ♦ Kingston, NY
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Since January 2009
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