Sunday December 30

Two storms likely this week.

School Forecast through:
Wednesday January 2nd
Last Updated: 7:00AM Sunday December 30th
Delay No School Early Dismissal
0%
(Nope)

0%
(Nope)
0%
(Nope)

7AM Sunday

A batch of light snow will continue moving through the region through about 9AM. During this time a light dusting of snow is likely. Today's wintry weather will signal the start of what could be a very active weather week. The highlights of this week will be two potential storm systems. The first will present as a rainstorm that moves through Monday night. This storm has been on our "radar" for a while now, and is very likely to materialize. The second storm has the potential to impact us during the second half of the week, specifically Thursday into Friday. After initially looking like it would pass well to our south, more recent trends have depicted the second storm system moving further north and impacting our region. While it is increasingly likely that this system will impact us, there is uncertainty in whether it will present as frozen precipitation or rain.

…Today through Wednesday…

Light snow in the morning, likely ending by 9AM. A dusting of snow likely, then clearing. Increasing clouds Monday with rain developing by 5PM. Steady rain through Monday night, likely ending before sunrise Tuesday. About half an inch of rain is possible Monday night. Some breaks of sun will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday with both days remaining dry.

…Thursday and Friday…

The forecast for this time period is more uncertain and will require updates through the week. Of the computer models that are used to calculate advanced forecasts, there are currently two camps regarding the potential storm. The First model to suggest that this storm would affect our area began to do so Friday morning. It has been the most consistent since then and brings a pure rain event through the region Thursday night through Friday evening. The second group is composed of two of the three main computer models. While both have hinted at the storm for several days, they have only consistently depicted it affecting us for about the past 24 hours. These two models both depict the storm evolving faster and remaining colder. Both would have the storm arriving locally during the day on Thursday and concluding Friday morning. As far as precipitation type, both of the group 2 models anchor in cold air more extensively than the first group, and would have the storm start as a period of snow, possibly changing to mixed precipitation or rain Thursday afternoon. At this time, I would like to see more consistency from the group 2 models that suggest more snow - as I've mentioned, they've only arrived at their solution within the past 24 hours or so. The more consistent they remain, the more credible their scenario will be. In the mean time, I will currently lean more toward a scenario that favors a mainly rain event on Friday, possibly starting as sleet like we have seen repeatedly with recent storms. We'll see how the week unfolds!

School Impact Probability
Updated: December 30, 2018
For December 31st - January 4th

Day Snow/Ice Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday (31) Very Low Very Low
Very Low Very Low
Tuesday (1)
Very Low Very Low
Very Low
Very Low
Wednesday (2)
Very Low
Very Low Very Low Very Low
Thursday (3)
Medium
Very Low
Very Low
Low
Friday (4)
Medium Low
Very Low
Very Low
School impact probabilities offer a general sense of upcoming conditions, but are not specific forecasts.

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