Sunday January 21

Rain to start the week

School Forecast for:
Monday through Friday
Last Updated: 2PM Sunday January 21, 2018
Delay No School Early Dismissal

The Forecast

2PM Sunday

We are entering a two week period that will favor storm tracks that bring more rain than snow. There is currently the potential for three storms over the next two weeks or so that will feature elevated chances for rain.

The first of these storms will begin tomorrow.
This storm will trek out of the Great Plains and into the Great Lakes. We will likely experience two rounds of rain and rain showers- one will be associated with the storm's leading warm front, and the other will be associated with the storm's trailing cold front. The first round will be Monday. Rain showers are possible in the morning. There is a better chance for rain showers Monday afternoon. A lull is likely Monday after 5PM, and Monday night should mainly be just cloudy. A heavier and steadier rain in advance of the storm's cold front will begin Tuesday morning. Steady rain is likely to begin Tuesday around 5AM or 6AM and persist into the afternoon. You may not need an umbrella on Monday, but you'll probably want one on Tuesday. In total, around an inch of rain could fall. Sunnier drier weather will filter in for the remainder of the week.

Click forecast image for larger and clearer version.

Temperatures are forecast to be too warm to support any frozen precipitation with this storm, and school impacts are not anticipated. The next storm looks to be around Sunday.
The next update is planned for Wednesday.

Winter update
Updated: January 15, 2018

So far this season, Kingston's total snowfall has continued to hover right around the 13-year average. Tomorrow's snowfall is likely to keep us near average for another week. As we transition into February we will reach the critical point of the season. February is historically our most impactful month by far, and roughly half of all weeks between December and March that record at least 10 inches of snowfall occur in February. Seasons that record no weeks with at least 10 inches of snowfall in February have an 80% chance of ending below average, while seasons that have at least one week with 10 inches of snow in February have less than a 40% chance of ending below average. As much as I'm personally rooting for big snows, there's no way of really knowing what'll happen next month, so we'll just have to wait and see!

Image caption: So far this winter's snowfall has been near average.
Click image for larger and clearer version.pajJqBQ.png
Image caption: Kingston remains on track to see about 48 inches of snow.
Click image for larger and clearer version.

School Impact Probability

Updated: January 21, 2018

Day (Date) Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday (22) Very Low
Very Low Very Low
Tuesday (23) Very Low
Very Low
Very Low
Wednesday (24) Very Low
Very Low
Very Low
Thursday (25) Very Low Very Low Very Low
Friday (25) Very Low
Very Low
Very Low

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