Thursday March 09 2017

Light snow Friday

School Forecast for:
Friday March 10th
Last Updated: 8:30AM Thursday March 9th

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
40% 30%

8:30AM Thursday Update

No significant overnight changes with tomorrow's storm.

A zone of precipitation over the northern Plains will slide eastward and produce a band of snow from Pennsylvania through Massachusetts. In New York, it appears that the greatest snowfall generally 3 to 5 inches should occur to our south, across Orange and Rockland counties. Accumulations across Ulster and Dutchess counties will likely range from 1 to 3 inches with higher totals to the south (Wallkill) and lower totals to the north (Saugerties). Today's focus will be monitoring for any north or south shifts in the snow band, which could influence snow totals. The timing of everything looks to be between 12am and 12pm Friday.

Click image for larger version.

7:45PM Wednesday Update

Over the past 24 hours there has been an increasing probability although not 100% for a general 1 to 3 inches of snow across Ulster County on Friday morning as a storm system passes to our south. The greatest threat for accumulating snow, and the greatest confidence in storm impact, is across southern areas (Wallkill and Marlboro). Details will be refined throughout the day tomorrow.

Regardless of exact snow totals, it will be notably colder following the storm with temperatures falling into the teens Friday and Saturday nights with wind chills potentially in the single digits.

Caption: Greatest storm impacts are likely to be across southern portions of the county. Click image for larger version.IUwK1od.jpg?1
Caption: Storm details for the Kingston area where 1 to 2 inches are currently anticipated Friday morning. Click image for larger version.


7:00AM Tuesday Update

This past Friday saw very brief snow squalls that dropped roughly 0.1 inch of snow in Kingston. This brings our total snowfall for the season up to 39.1 inches. While this is close to the average that we would expect for this time of year, the fact that we haven't seen any other snowfall in the past three weeks is unusual.

Caption: This winter's total snowfall amount (pink line) has fallen close to the average amount (solid yellow line). Click image for larger version.This week will feature a familiar trend - mild temperatures with rain, followed by an abrupt return to more seasonable weather. Once again, really not anticipating any snow over the next week with the possible exception of maybe some flurries on Friday. It will be noticeably colder by the weekend.
Click the forecast image for larger and clearer version.

Extended outlooks offer a general sense of upcoming conditions, but are not specific forecasts.

School Impact Probability
March 13th - March 17th
Last Updated: Tuesday March 7th

Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday (13th) Very Low
Very Low
Very Low
Tuesday (14th)
Medium Low Very Low
Wednesday (15th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low
Thursday (16th)
Very Low
Very Low Very Low
Friday (17th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low

Weather Probabilities
Last Updated: Tuesday March 7th
Click outlook image for larger and clearer version

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