Tuesday January 24 2017

Icy conditions through the morning

School Forecast for:
Tuesday January 24th
Last Updated: 10:00PM Monday January 23rd

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
40% 70%

6AM Tuesday Update

As you're waking up this morning, you may be wondering "what exactly is on the ground"? And the answer is sleet! Sleet happens when there is a wedge of warm air above the surface of the Earth. Falling ice crystals (aka snowflakes) pass through the warm air, partially melt, but then refreeze before reaching the ground. Sleet can vary in appearance from clumps of miniature-looking snowballs to clear ice pellets. Today's sleet is of the ice pellet variety and the total as of 5:45am was 1.7 inches.

All school districts in Ulster County have closed today, but be safe and take it very slow if you must head out this morning!

Click image for larger version


10PM Monday Update

No significant changes to the forecast at this time.
Anticipating ice and sleet to continue through the night.
Steady precipitation should taper off around 5am.
A chance of light rain or rain showers through the morning.
Around 0.75 inches of ice pellets has already fallen, and final totals should be between one and two inches.

The bottomline, however, is that the morning commute will be slick. Icy conditions can be anticipated on untreated roadways, with slushy conditions on more travelled roads. Please use caution if you must be outside tonight or tomorrow morning.


Monday January 23rd

Overall, the general forecast remains the same for tonight's storm. The main change is the delay in the onset.

Anticipating rain to develop by 7PM.
A mix of rain, sleet, and snow developing between 7PM and 10PM.
Sleet and snow mixed with rain overnight.
Mixed precipitation should taper off around 5AM.
A chance of rain showers through the morning.
Snow and sleet accumulation up to an inch or two is possible.

Temperatures are currently in the upper 30s, and should hold steady in the mid to lower 30s overnight.
Next update at 10PM

Sunday January 22nd

The main weather headline this week will be a large intense storm system that will affect the region. The storm's components are already bring severe weather across the southern US, and will move up the coast over the next two days. Timing of impacts in the Kingston area look to be Monday through Tuesday. Currently, rain is likely through most of this period. Monday night could see a mix or change-over to snow for a period. Thanks largely in part to the anomalous warmth that we have been experiencing lately, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty of how much -if any- snow we will see. Temperatures Monday night are currently anticipated to be right around the threshold capable of supporting some slushy snow, however, a few degrees warmer could easily result in all rain, while a few degrees colder could result in a moderate snowfall. The following forecast reflects current thinking, but could very well shift over the next 24 hours.

Monday and Tuesday

Rain developing after 1PM.
Rain, sleet, and snow possible between 7PM and 5AM.
Up to two inches or so of wet snow is possible.
Breezy overnight.
Rain likely Tuesday morning.
Rain possible through Tuesday evening.
High around 40 Monday, in the lower 40s Tuesday.
Overnight low in the lower 30s.
Total rainfall of 1 to 2 inches.

Wednesday through Friday

Dry and generally partly cloud.
Highs generally in the mid-40s.
Lows in the lower to mid-30s.

Photo caption: The upcoming storm can be seen as a sprawling mass of clouds of clouds currently over the eastern US. Rain is falling under most of those clouds while severe weather, including tornadoes, exists along the Florida/Georgia border.

Extended-Outlook School Impact Probability
January 23rd - January 27th
Last Updated: Sunday January 22nd

Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday (23rd) Very Low Very Low
Tuesday (24th)
Medium Medium
Very Low
Wednesday (25th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low
Thursday (26th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low
Friday (27th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low

Kingstonsnows ♦ Kingston, NY
Since January 2009
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