Sunday December 4 2016

Light snow Monday morning

School Forecast through:
Monday December 5th
Last Updated: 7:00PM Sunday December 4, 2016

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
60% 30%
0%

7:00pm Update

Snow is expected to begin between 2am and 4am.
A coating of snow is expected by 5am.
Snow should fall at a moderate and steady rate.
Accumulations could approach two inches by 8am.
Snow should taper off around 10am.
Total snowfall of around 2 inches is possible.
Temperatures will run between 28 and 32 degrees.

Based on the latest times and amounts,
the impact probabilities have been adjusted upward.
Additional updates will be posted by 10PM, if needed.

--------------

Sunday December 4th

Highlights:

• Light accumulating snow Monday morning
• Some clearing on Tuesday
• Rain/Snow Tuesday night into Wednesday

A storm system currently to our south and west will approach the region today. This storm will spread light snow over the area beginning late tonight. Light snow will likely continue through the morning on Monday before tapering off Monday afternoon. Currently, only light accumulations around an inch are anticipated. However, the timing of the snow, likely arriving before 5am, will likely affect the morning commute. Clouds linger Monday afternoon with some clearing early Tuesday. A second storm system affects the area Tuesday night. A mix of rain and snow is possible with this second storm. Temperatures will fall to right around the freezing mark Wednesday morning, so accumulating snow may be possible. Clouds linger through Thursday. High temperatures will be in the 40s this week.

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Click forecast image or larger version sBaI2OB.jpg?3
Click forecast images for larger versions

November Recap,
and Drought Update
December 4, 2016

November 2016 has come and gone!
Here in Ulster County, the month was fairly typical in terms of temperature, rain, and snowfall.

The average temperature for the month was 52.1 degrees which was slightly above the normal average of 49.0. The highest temperature was 68 which was set on November 2nd and 3rd. The lowest temperature was 25, which was set on the 21st and 23rd.

The only snow last month was associated with the impressive November 20 - 22nd Lake Effect Snowfall event. Mohonk Lake received a total of 5.3 inches of snow on those dates, which is nearly double the normal snowfall for the month of November. The maximum Ulster County snow report during this event was 8.0 inches in Pine Hill; Kingston barely saw a trace of snow. Redfield, NY, downwind of Lake Ontario, recorded 54 inches (!!) - the most in the state.

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Caption: Snow totals varied during the November 19-22 Lake Effect Snow event.
Click snow map for larger version

In terms of rainfall,
November was both a positive and a negative month. For the first time since July, Both Poughkeepsie and Mohonk Lake reported above normal rainfall for the month. Both locations received over three inches of rain. This is good news for the region which has been in a growing drought since September. Since early October, Kingston's Cooper Lake reservoir has been falling at a rate of 5% every two weeks. November began with a "Drought Alert" and Lake water levels at 70%. On November 10th a "Drought Warning" was declared as water levels fell to 65%. The 1.71 inches of rain that fell on November 15th helped to stabilize the falling water levels some, but by early last week, water levels had fallen to 61%. An additional 1.6 inches fell in the last two days of the month, which has since pushed water levels to 70% [»Link«]. Kingston recorded a total of 2.6 inches of rain during last week's storm, but some of that fell on December 1st (1.2 inches measured the morning of Nov. 30th and 1.4 inches measured the morning of Dec. 1st). The disconcerting part of November's rainfall is that it was largely due to rainfall on just two days. It would be much more reassuring for drought recovery to see smaller amounts of rain at more frequent intervals, because as we head into winter when there is typically less moisture, it should become more difficult to experience single day soaking rainfalls that are capable of recharging the reservoir — the kind that got us through November.

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Caption: November's rainfall was above average for the first time since July.
Click image for larger version

Extended-Outlook School Impact Probability
December 5th - December 9th
Last Updated: Sunday December 3rd

Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday (5th) Moderate Low Very Low
Tuesday (6th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low
Wednesday (7th)
Low Very Low Very Low
Thursday (8th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low
Friday (9th)
Very Low Very Low Very Low

Next Update:
This evening

Kingstonsnows ♦ Kingston, NY
Since January 2009
Archive of Updates

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