Sunday November 13 2016

Some rain Tuesday; Drought upgrades

School Forecast through:
Friday November 18th
Last Updated: 9:00PM Sunday November 13, 2016

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
0% 0% 0%

Weekly Update
Sunday November 13th


• Calm start to the week
• Wet and cool on Tuesday
• Warm dry end to the week

Warm, sunny weather will continue into Monday. Temperatures will be about the same as today. Clouds will increase Monday night as a storm treks up the coast. This storm will likely bring rain on Tuesday. Rainfall amounts an intensity will depend on how close the storm treks, but currently anticipating that rainfall should generally be light, but may persist throughout the day. Less than half an inch of rain is anticipated. Cloud cover will keep Tuesday notably cooler. The storm moves out Tuesday night leaving dry and mainly clear weather in its wake through the end of the week. Temperatures should rebound to the upper 50s to around 60.

On Thursday the City Water Department elected to upgrade the ongoing "Drought Alert" to a "Drought Warning". A formal announcement is likely to be made this week, and Kingstonsnows will have a full update on the state of the drought when that happens.

Click forecast image for larger version

October Summary;
Drought Worsens
Tuesday November 1st

October 2016 is now in the history books!
The month set several Ulster County records based on observations from Mohonk Lake where archives span 120 years.

The big story heading into November is the ongoing drought.
Two weeks ago the City of Kingston issued a Drought Alert [Link] as Cooper Lake, the city's main water supply, fell to 75% capacity. The Alert called for voluntary water restrictions. Since then, the Lake has continued to fall and is now at 70% capacity [Link]. City officials have noted that residents have largely ignored the voluntary water restrictions, with water usage increasing since the Drought Alert was declared. At the current rate, a more stringent "drought warning" could be declared by the end of November.

Caption: Cooper Lake is currently at 70% capacity. Larger image.

The worsening conditions come despite an increase in rainfall since September. October recorded 3.81 inches of precipitation, which was roughly 80% of normal. For the year, Ulster County's precipitation is nearly 12 inches below normal; only 14 years have had a larger deficit by November 1st. One inch of snow was observed at Mohonk on the 27th, which was the first time that measurable snow has been recorded on the date. Only eight years have recorded more snow than 2016 by the end of October.

Temperatures during October didn't contribute significantly to the drought. The overall average temperature for October was 53.1°F, which was only about one degree above normal. The maximum temperature of the month was 79°, which was set on the 18th and the 19th. Both dates set new records. For the 19th, 79° was the highest temperature ever recorded, surpassing the previous record set in 1963. For the 18th, 79° surpassed the previous record which was set in 1908! The monthly minimum temperature was 28°, set on the 28th.

Caption: October rainfall was closer to normal than September, however, Cooper Lake water levels have continued to fall due to increased city demand. Larger image.

Please consider ways to
reduce your personal water use.

Extended-Outlook School Impact Probability
November 7th - November 11th
Last Updated: Tuesday November 2nd

Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday Low Low Low
Low Low Low
Low Low Low
Low Low Low
Low Low Low

Next Update:
Sunday November 6th

The Photo of The Month has been updated for October.

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Since January 2009
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