Monday October 3 2016

Clear, comfortable start to October
School Forecast through:
Friday October 7th
Last Updated: 10:00PM Monday October 3, 2016

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
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After an cool, overcast, and dreary end to September, the month of October is off to a bright start! This week looks to feature mainly clear skies as a high pressure deflects any would-be clouds. Afternoon high temperatures will generally run in the 70s, while those cloud-free nights will allow the overnight temperatures to generally fall into the 40s. Kingstonsnows will be keeping an eye on Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean, which could conspire with a frontal system to dampen the second half of the coming weekend. Direct impacts to the local area from Matthew are not anticipated at this time, but updates will be provided as needed.

Click forecast image for larger version

Monday October 3rd

Now that October is underway we will be approaching some of our autumn benchmarks that relate to winter. There are two: the first night to fall below freezing and the date of the first snow. Over the past decade the dates of these benchmarks has varied from year to year.

First night below freezing:
Since 2000, the first night to fall below freezing in the Hudson Valley has always been in October. The earliest occurrence was October 3rd (2003) and the latest was October 29th (2007). The average date over the past 15 Octobers has been October 15th. The current forecast keeps us well above freezing through the 9th, so while we have to wait and see how next week plays out, this year we should make it pretty close to the average date.

The first measurable snow:
Unlike the first freezing temperature of the season, the date of the first measurable snow of the season varies greatly. Since 2004, the first snow fall has arrived as late as December 29th (2015) and as early as October 29th (2011). That's a difference of nearly nine weeks! While 2011 has been the only year to record measurable snowfall (as opposed to flurries), it is noted as a benchmark now, because it can happen. The average date of the first measurable snowfall is November 26th.

The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting above normal temperatures for our area with equal chances for a wetter or drier than normal season this autumn.

Extended-Outlook School Impact Probability
October 10th - October 14th
Last Updated: Monday October 3rd

Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
Monday Low Low Low
Low Low Low
Low Low Low
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Low Low Low

Next Update:
As needed throughout the week,
or by Sunday October 9th.

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Since January 2009
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