Sunday January 11 2015

Another storm tomorrow
Last Updated:
10:00PM Sunday
January 11, 2014

School Forecast For:
Monday January 12th

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
40% 60% 0%

Forecast Overview
Last Updated: 10:00PM January 11th

10:00PM Update

Latest storm timetable:
Light snow developing around 3AM or 4AM.
About an inch of snow through 7AM.
Snow changing to mixed precipitation after 7AM.
Mixed precipitation changing to rain after 10AM.
Chance of rain through 4PM.

As of 10PM temperatures in Kingston are right around 29 degrees and have been slowly rising. This is a good five degrees warmer than all sources/forecasts suggested for this evening. Although temperatures should cool off a few degrees after precipitation begins, being five degrees warmer than anticipated is not very reassuring of the rest of the forecast… especially when we're only a few degrees away from the freezing mark.

That being said… . . the big picture still implies impacts to the morning commute. Looking for snow to accumulate on untreated roadways through 8AM, then potentially a period of mixed precipitation after that. Due mainly to the timing and the threat of frozen precipitation continuing after 8AM, have chosen to slightly favor a cancellation on this last update. The 60% means that a cancellation is likely but not definite. The 40% means that a delay is possible. No significant weather is anticipated for the rest of the week.


11:00AM Sunday

Another storm system will impact the region tomorrow.
Currently expecting the following:

Light snow developing after 2AM.
Up to half inch coating of snow by 4AM.
Up to an inch of snow by 7AM.
Changeover to light rain between 8AM and 10AM.
Periods of sleet possible during the transition phase.
Rain tapering off by 4PM.

Temperatures should dip into the mid20s prior to the storm.
From 4AM through 7AM temperatures should be in the mid20s. After 7AM, temperatures should quickly rise into the lower 30s by 11AM. This should allow for slick conditions with some road improvement possible during the mid morning.

I will try to have an update by 10PM,
but may not be able to tonight.

Quick-Forecast Table

AM Temp
PM Temp
Condition Confidence
Monday 25 to 30
34 to 39
AM Snow; PM Rain High
Tuesday 22 to 25 17 to 22 Clear High
Wednesday 4 to 9 20 to 25 Clear
High
Thursday 10 to 20 20 to 30
Partly Cloudy High
Friday 15 to 25 25 to 35
Partly Cloudy
Medium
Saturday
25 to 35
30 to 40
Partly Cloudy Low
Sunday 25 to 35 30 to 40
Clear
Low
Last Updated: 11:00AM January 11, 2015

Kingstonsnows Text Forecast
Last Updated: 11:00AM January 11th

Monday

Light snow developing after 2AM.
Light snow between 2AM and 7AM.
Snow changing over to rain between 8AM and 10AM.
Periods of sleet possible during the transition period.
Snow accumulations of about an inch likely.
Rain throughout the early afternoon, tapering off by 4PM.

Tuesday and Wednesday

No significant weather anticipated.
Tuesday temperatures: upper teens to lower 20s.
Wednesday temperatures: starting in the single digits,
but rising to the 20s.

Thursday through Sunday

No significant weather anticipated.
Temps ranging from the 20s to around 40.

Long-range school impact (probability)
The long range impact is a general outlook, and is not a specific forecast.
Day (Date) Delay Cancellation E.D. Confidence
Monday (Jan. 12) None None None High
Tuesday (Jan. 13) None
None None
High
Wednesday (Jan. 14) None
None None High
Thursday (Jan. 15) None None
None High
Friday (Jan. 16) None None None High
Last Updated: 11:00AM January 11, 2015

January Photo of the Month
Snowman on the rim of the Grand Canyon

(click image for full size)

Happy New Year!!

2015

Kingstonsnows ♦ Kingston, NY
Since January 2009

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