Monday March 10 2014

Calm overnight

Last Updated:
12:45PM Monday
March 10, 2014
School Forecast For:
Tuesday March 11th

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
0% 0% 0%

Brief Overview
Last Updated: 12:45PM March 10th

12:45PM Monday

Interesting storm shaping up for Wednesday/Thursday.

A storm will trek from the Ohio River Valley and through the Northeast. This will bring precipitation to our region from Wednesday AM through Thursday AM. The main question is, "how much precipitation will be frozen, and how much will be liquid?"

Right now, it looks like we may see at least some period of snow early Wednesday morning, likely transition to either rain or a mix by late morning. Whatever is falling during the afternoon, should transition back to snow Wednesday evening, and persist into the overnight hours.

As far as accumulations… it really depends on those transition timings. A warmer scenario would favor a change over to all rain for at least several hours between the late morning and evening. This scenario would probably produce 1 to 4 inches of snow, mainly Wednesday night. A colder scenario with a later transition to sleet/mix instead of plain rain could produce 3 to 7 inches.

So, obviously the range of impacts is still pretty high.
The National Weather Service seems to favor a colder scenario, but the latest forecast model runs seemed to trend a little warmer. The forecast below is a bit of a blend. My instinct is to favor a warmer scenario.


Next Update:
3:00PM Tomorrow

Kingstonsnows Extended Forecast
Last Updated: 12:45PM March 10th

Forecast at a glance
- AM °F
Weather Timing Confidence
Tuesday 30 - 35 40 - 45 Mostly Cloudy - High
30 - 35 36 - 41 Snow/Rain;
Snow/Sleet After 5AM;
After 8PM Medium
Thursday 10 - 15 16 - 21 Snow Showers Before 7AM High
Friday 5 - 15 25 - 35 Clear - Medium
Saturday 15 - 25 35 - 45 Snow Showers? - Medium
Sunday 15 - 25
25 - 35 Mostly Cloudy - Medium
Monday 5 - 15 15 - 25
Mostly Cloudy - Low


Mostly Cloudy.
Slightly warmer with temperatures in the 40s.

Wednesday and Thursday

A mix of sleet and snow early Wednesday morning,
transitioning to rain/mix after 8AM. Rain transitioning to sleet or snow during the evening. Snow tapering off Wednesday night before 7AM Thursday.

Temperatures reaching the mid to upper 30s Wednesday,
then falling into the teens and 20s.

Friday through Monday

No significant weather anticipated.
Some snow showers possible on Saturday.
Temperatures generally reaching the 20s and 30s.
Colder conditions possible on Monday.

Long-range school impact (probability)
The long range impact is a general outlook, and is not a specific forecast.
Day (Date) Delay
Cancellation E.D.
Monday (17) None None None Low
Tuesday (11) None None None High
Wednesday (12) Medium Medium None Medium
Thursday (13) High Medium None Medium
Friday (14) None None None High
Long range impact last Updated: 9:00PM March 10, 2014

Kingstonsnows ♦ Kingston, NY

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