Thursday February 7, 2013

Record snowstorm??

9:00PM Thursday February 7, 2013

School Forecast for:
Friday February 8, 2013
Two-hour Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
0% 90% 10%

9:10PM Update:

Snowfall during the day tomorrow will actually be rather light… on the order of about an inch by noontime. Because of that, I had considered reevaluating the probability of an early dismissal. However, temperatures will be in the 20's so, once snow does begin to fall (by 7 or 8AM) it should coat roadways rather quickly.
Also, given the Winter Storm Warning that goes into effect at 6AM, and the city Snow Emergency that is already in effect, it is likely that schools will be canceled as a precautionary measure, despite the light accumulations. —but you never know with Kingston.
Numerous districts to our south, and north, have already closed.

Be safe, everyone.

5:30PM Update:

The city of Kingston has issued a snow emergency, which goes into effect at 8PM tonight. No cars may be parked on city streets for the next 48 hours.

A winter storm warning for 10 to 16 inches of snow
is in effect from 6AM Friday until 12PM Saturday.

Breakdown of storm timing:

40% chance of snow after 3AM.
60% chance of snow after 6AM.
80% chance of snow after 9AM.

Around an inch of snow by noon.
3 to 4 inches likely by 6PM.
Heavy snow beginning around 6PM.
An additional 4 to 6 inches between 7PM and 1AM.
An additional 4 to 6 inches by 12PM Saturday

Snow ending by 12PM Saturday.
Total accumulations of 10 to 16 inches.

Snow will initially be relatively light Friday morning, but temperatures will be well below freezing, so snow will stick quickly. The storm will be especially severe Friday night when snowfall rates over an inch an hour will be likely. If Saturday were a school day, classes would likely be canceled.

Winds gusts to 30mph will be possible Friday night and Saturday.

This storm will likely rank in the top five Kingston snowstorms since 2000. It will likely be our largest snow since March 2007.

Inches Date Year

17.0 February 17-18 2003
16+ January 3-4 2003
16.0 March 16 2007
12.2 January 22 2005
11.5 December 9 2005
11.0 December 26 2002
11.0 February 14 2007
10.5 February 28 2005
10.5 March 23 2005
10.0 December 26-27 2010
~10 December 6-7 2003
9.50 December 13 2007
8.50 Feburary 22 2008
8.50 December 19 2008
8.50 December 9 2009

We almost certainly had some larger, or at least comparable, snowfalls prior to 2000. However, the two closest stations that record snowfall are Albany and NYC. These two have very different snowfall histories from each other, and likely from Kingston.

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