Sunday April 8, 2012

From "dry" to "drought"

Updated:
7:00P.M. Sunday April 8, 2012

Welcome to Kingston Snows!!

School Forecast For:
Monday through Friday
Two-Hour Delay Cancellation Early Dismissal
0% 0% 0%

7:00PM Update

As of April 7, Poughkeepsie, New York has recorded the following precipitation values:

Month-to-date:
0.26 inches, which represents a deficit of 0.63 inches, and 29% of normal.

Since March 1:
1.45 inches, which represents a deficit of 3.01 inches, and 32% of normal.

Since January 1:
5.06 inches, which represents a deficit of 5.16 inches, and 49% of normal.

Total precipitation over the next week is expected to be in the form of a 30% chance of isolated to scattered showers Tuesday into Wednesday, and is not expected to exceed 0.30 inches. Three tenths of an inch is about the equivalence of the average two day rainfall for April, and is not expected to bring any relief to local streams and creeks. Weak to moderate drought conditions were first observed in Dutchess county on April 3, 2012, and are expected to persist, and intensify, for at least the next week. Weekly national drought evaluations are released on Thursdays.

Fire Weather Watches are currently in effect for Monday.

"IMPACTS…ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED."

I'll have an update Thursday afternoon.


5:00PM Thursday April 4

Moderate drought conditions are now present in the Hudson Valley.

The drought conditions extend from extreme southern New Hampshire, through most of Massachusetts, all of Rhode Island and Connecticut, and into extreme southeastern New York east of the Hudson River including Long Island. This represents a notable expansion from last week when drought conditions were limited to southeastern New England.

Poughkeepsie, New York, representing the western fringe of the drought conditions, has seen about 5 inches of precipitation since January 1. This is about 50% of normal. Precipitation since March 1 has been less than 1.5 inches, which is over 2.6 inches below normal, and about 35% of normal precipitation.

Over the years, we have seen a few brief periods of moderate drought. The last episode was in late September 2010, when drought conditions were present in Dutchess County for about a week or so. The most significant drought since the turn of the century occurred during the winter and spring of 2002 when the mid Hudson Valley experienced "severe drought" conditions from February through April.

Significant portions of the northeast have been abnormally dry for several weeks now. With just a chance of showers early next week, it is likely that the drought conditions will continue to expand. The main impact will be notably low water levels on local streams and creeks.

The National Weather Service has issued a Fire Weather Watch for Friday. It will be clear and dry with highs in the upper 50's to mid 60's through Monday. There is a 40% chance of showers beginning Monday. Friday will not be a good day for a bonfire.

Two images displaying how drought conditions in the Northeast have expanded over the past two weeks. Drought conditions now extend from extreme southern New Hampshire through Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and into extreme southeastern New York from Dutchess County to Long Island.

Next Update
Thursday Afternoon

History of Kingston Snowstorms

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