Wednesday February 4 2015

Another round of snow tonight
Last Updated:
10:00PM Wednesday
February 4, 2015

School Forecast For:
Thursday February 5th

Two Hour Delay No School Early Dismissal
60% 40% 0%

Forecast Overview
Last Updated: 6:00PM February 4th

10:00PM Update

Best timeframe for snow overnight looks to be between 4AM and 7AM, with a bumper time of an hour or two on either side. During this time expecting half an inch to two inches… Tonight's system is very dry and it is possible that some of the snow evaporates before reaching the ground, reducing totals. Considered reducing the probabilities slightly, but decided to keep them as are, mainly due to timing. A delay is likely, but not definite. A late morning "upgrade" to a cancellation is possible.

6:00PM Wednesday

A storm passing to our north will send a band of snow through the region tonight. This band of snow looks to pass through Ulster County sometime between midnight and 8AM. As far as accumulations… generally under two inches of snow is expected.

Chose to slightly favor a delay because these types of snow bands don't tend to linger around too long, and it could be over as early as 5AM. However, temperatures will be in the Lower 20s, so this will likely be one of those powdery snows that cakes on roadways… So it wouldn't be a surprise to see districts start off with a delay and upgrade to a cancellation like we've seen so many times over the past two years with these critically-timed morning snowfalls.

Final comments at 10PM

Quick-Forecast Table

AM Temp
PM Temp
Condition Confidence
Monday 16 to 20
18 to 22
Snow: 8+ inches High
Tuesday 0 to -5
16 to 20 Some Clouds High
Wednesday 13 to 17 30 to 35
Flurries
High
Thursday 5 to 15
15 to 25 AM Snow Showers
Medium
Friday -10 to 0 10 to 20
Mostly Clear
Medium
Saturday
5 to 15
20 to 30 PM Snow Showers Low
Sunday 5 to 15 15 to 25
Mostly Clear
Low
Last Updated: 3:00PM Sunday February 1, 2015

Kingstonsnows Text Forecast
Last Updated: 3:00PM February 1, 2015

Monday

Snow tapering off in the early afternoon.
Accumulations of at least 8 inches likely.

Tuesday and Wednesday

No significant weather anticipated.
Temperatures in the low teens to 20s.

Thursday

Snow showers possible in the morning.
Light accumulations possible.

Friday

No significant weather anticipated.

Long-range school impact (probability)
The long range impact is a general outlook, and is not a specific forecast.
Day (Date) Delay Cancellation E.D. Confidence
Monday (Feb. 2) None High
None
High
Tuesday (Feb. 3) Low
None None
High
Wednesday (Feb. 4) None None
None High
Thursday (Feb. 5) Medium
Low
None Medium
Friday (Feb. 6) None None
None High
Last Updated: 3:00PM February 1, 2015

January Photo of the Month
Snowman on the rim of the Grand Canyon

Happy New Year!!

2015

Kingstonsnows ♦ Kingston, NY
Since January 2009
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