3p Feb 1

STILL KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON ALL SOURCES OF GUIDANCE PERTAINING TO
THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY…AND BEYOND.
LATEST TRENDS INDICATE ANY SNOW THAT DOES AFFECT THE REGION WOULD
NOT ARRIVE UNTIL LATER MONDAY NIGHT OR POSSIBLY HOLD OFF UNTIL
TUESDAY. HAVE FORECAST SLIGHT TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT…WITH THE FAR NORTHWEST PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA REMAINING DRY.

ON TUESDAY…FORECAST INCREASING POPS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
DAY…BUT DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY PRODUCED BY THE WIDE VARIATIONS IN
THE FORECAST FROM MODEL TO MODEL AND FROM RUN TO RUN…HAVE KEPT THE
POPS VALUES IN THE CHANCE RANGE. THE PRIMARY SOURCE OF AGREEMENT
BETWEEN THE MODELS IS THAT THE SURFACE LOW TRACK WILL BE OFFSHORE…
AND THE ONLY PCPN TYPE WE NEED TO BE CONCERNED WITH IS SNOW.

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